In an unstable international political environment, when conflicts and wars remain a constant part of global reality, the question of the impact of these events on prices the price of oil is becoming especially relevant. Taking into account that oil continues to be a key energy resource, changes in its prices can have a significant impact on the economies of both developed and developing countries. Long-term trends in oil price declines related to economic and financial factors require an analytical approach to understanding short-term price fluctuations caused by political crises.
Wars and similar triggers can only ensure a short-term increase in the price of oil (when the mechanism of speculative purchases is triggered) relative to the already established long-term trend towards its decline, primarily related to the established and unchanged over a long period of tight monetary policy of the United States, which today, unfortunately, determines global supply and demand countries that are import-dependent on this country.