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Leading Economist + ... пиктограмма - Как-то Так THIS     Экономическая грамотность и web-решения. Для тех кто считает деньги.
Персональная помощь в финансово-экономическом моделировании,
разработке простых CRM-систем (Laravel+Vue) и интеграции ИИ для вашего бизнеса
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Идеи и проекты по оптимизации бизнеса - Связь !
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  The economist's notes:  Investment Bias: Why Gold, Crypto, and Risk-free... / The strengthening of the ruble and the "fall of... / Who will be affected by the VAT increase? The tax burden on private businesses will grow in... / 2026 is the year when creditors make decisions... /

Заметки экономиста

заметки экономиста - личные соображения, советы и комментарии

Мои заметки!

Иногда просто хочется поделиться, высказаться о чём-то накопившемся, с учётом специфики своей деятельности, да и других житейских дел.

Делюсь личным мнением, соображениями, комментариями по поводу всего, что соприкасается с миром экономики, финансов и web.

Sometimes I replay this scenario in my headLet's assume that China (which is, in fact, a 100% trigger today) and other key players in this area will continue to massively buy gold and silver, moving into "risk-free".So what's next?It's the same with the crypt. If only right now everyone would abruptly rush to buy it up.Ultimately, it doesn't...
30-01-2026 Investment Bias: Why Gold, Crypto, and Risk-free Won't Save You in a Future Crisis

I could still believe in a reasonable ruble strengthening if the domestic economy were really based on the principles of self-sufficiency.That is, if the real sector were provided with all the necessary resources, components and semi-finished products produced domestically. But there is no such thing.Therefore, I do not understand the delight of...
21-01-2026 The strengthening of the ruble and the "fall of the dollar": who really benefits from the current monetary policy

VAT indirect tax. It does not affect the growth of business costs. It is imposed by the state on the price (costs + some profit) that it calculated initially. It's just that after selling its product at such a price, the company gives this share of the proceeds to the budget.Well, I think it's clear why. The reason is the same budget deficit.That...
13-01-2026 Who will be affected by the VAT increase?

The tax burden on private businesses is likely to grow in 2026.The reasons are clear: budget deficit and current external economic and geopolitical factors create the need additional sources of income.At the same time, if we talk about Belarus, a significant part of the economy is the public sector and the quasi-public sector. Formally, many...
13-01-2026 The tax burden on private businesses will grow in 2026

2026 will be the year of decision-making by lenders for your debtors.With what and how they will have to pay for a good life yesterday, for the money with which they tried to roll over their past debts and receive new, obviously irrevocable ones.The question is, what is more important for creditors: the return of what they provided, or something...
29-12-2025 2026 is the year when creditors make decisions about their debtors.

Simply put, money that enters the account from goods sold (working capital), which is already difficult to sell (and now almost the entire market is like this), should not be put back into production. Many people continue to do this for the sake of beautiful reporting and "planned indicators for GDP." As a result, all this turns into an illiquid,...
02-12-2025 Now is the time for a business to put its turnover in reserve.

The most corrupt sphere in the modern world is the tender procurement system, mainly in high-tech industries (where there is no high competition).In other words, these are areas in which the list of participants (applicants) is very limited due to specific technical specifications (TK) for the purchase of a particular product, for which it is not...
28-11-2025 AI and procurement optimization - how technology can reduce corruption in high-tech industries

There is nothing to share about the economy yet. The formulas are the same, nothing surprises in macro processes - everything goes in a predictable direction. Only the exact time of the hour is still unclear, so I decided to share another one.I'm currently making a lightweight and simple online store engine using Cursor AI.I think many sole...
19-11-2025 Easy online store on Laravel + Vue for sole proprietors and artisans

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Article: The use of the yuan in international settlements has sharply decreasedSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/forex-news/article-2552733 Context:Analysts are not sure what could have been the main factor in the decline, but some note the easing of pressure on the yuan exchange rate, which was intense in the first half of the year. The...
09-11-2024 The use of the yuan for international settlements has decreased significantly
Article: S&P 500: A strong recovery after the August collapse is a sign of strengthSource: https://ru.investing.com/analysis/article-200314997 Context:Currently, the market favors bulls, and the long-term bullish trend remains strong. A key factor supporting this trend is the steady demand for debt instruments: the yield on speculative US...
24-08-2024 S&P 500 is a strong growth trend after the collapse in August
Article: China has sold a record amount of US debt securitiesSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/economy/article-2421638 Context:Investing.com China sold a record number of US Treasury bonds in the first quarter of this year, diversifying from American assets, Bloomberg writes.What is meant - in simple wordsChina got rid of American...
20-05-2024 China has sold $53.3 billion worth of U.S. Treasury and agency bonds
Article: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has announced the start of negotiations with Grayscale regarding the spot offer of Bitcoin ETFsSource: https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/11/08/us-sec-said-to-open-talks-with-grayscale-on-spot-bitcoin-etf-push/Context:The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has begun...
15-11-2023 SEC - Grayscale - investments - crypto - Bitcoin-ETF: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has announced the start of negotiations with Grayscale regarding the Bitcoin ETF spot offer
Article: Gref named the fundamental exchange rate of the ruble against the dollarSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/forex-news/article-2316113 Context:"Somewhere in the area of these figures, the ruble should be, well, 90 plus or minus. We don't expect him to go anywhere far from these levels. In general, we forecast a stable situation by...
12-11-2023 The head of Sberbank - forecast - ruble exchange rate - stability: Gref called the fundamental exchange rate of the ruble against the dollar
Article: Wall Street rose due to a weak employment reportSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-2313989 Context:Investing.com - Stock indexes in the United States went up after a weaker-than-expected report on employment in the country for October increased hopes that the Federal Reserve will refrain from further...
06-11-2023 Index growth - unemployment - employment - Fed decision: Wall Street rose due to a weak employment report
Article: Crypto wallets were installed 32% less frequently this year than in the pastSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/article-2303023 Context:According to the data AltIndex.com In the first nine months of this year, cryptocurrencies accounted for 73.6 million downloads, which is 32% less than in the same period last...
24-10-2023 Crypto wallets - downloads - demand - drop : This year, crypto wallets were installed 32% less frequently than in the past
Article: The IMF warned about the risk to the bond market if the situation with the SVB bank repeatsSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/economy/article-2297982 Context:Treasury bond yields have reached a peak not seen in almost 2 decades, amid one of the most extreme U.S. bond sales in history. Traditionally, when yields rise, bond prices...
12-10-2023 Risks - Treasury Bonds - Bankruptcy - USA: The IMF warned of the risk to the bond market if the situation with the SVB bank repeats
Article: Nasdaq has attracted a record number of Japanese startupsSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-2295766Context:Investing.com Dozens of Japanese startups want to list on the Nasdaq stock exchange in the next few years, since a huge number of entrepreneurs are no longer interested in the domestic Japanese,...
03-10-2023 Startups - Japan - Nasdaq - USA - investments - financing: Nasdaq has attracted a record number of Japanese startups
Article: WTI oil futures rose in price during Asian tradingSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/commodities-news/article-2291529Context:On the New York Mercantile Exchange WTI oil futures for October delivery are trading at $88.86 per barrel, having risen by 0.38% at the time of writing this comment.The maximum of the session was the $per...
14-09-2023 Futures - oil - trading - resistance - support - dollar index: WTI crude futures rose in price during Asian trading
Article: Alibaba postponed the Freshippo IPO due to the economic situation in ChinaSource: https://ru.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-2290336 Context:Investing.com - Chinese online retailer Alibaba postponed the initial public offering of its subsidiary Freshippo grocery chain amid weak interest in consumer sector stocks, writes...
11-09-2023 Alibaba - Freshippo IPO - cancellation - economy - China: Alibaba postponed Freshippo IPO due to the economic situation in China
Article : "Shorting the dollar is too risky": opinion of hedge funds.Source: https://ru.investing.com/news/forex-news/article-2290295 Context :So, the hedge fund K2 Asset Management is confident that the dollar will continue to grow, since the interest rate in the United States is still elevated, and the AVM Capital fund expects that the...
10-09-2023 Hedge Fund - interest rate - Dollar - Bonds - China: "Shorting the dollar is too risky": opinion of hedge funds
CURRENT INFORMATION
What is happening to the Russian economy now: lessons from the crises and the impact of oil prices 2025-08-11 What is happening to the Russian economy now: lessons...
Cryptocurrency as a means of settlement in oil trade with China and India 2025-03-14 Cryptocurrency as a means of settlement in oil trade with...
The US has included Bitcoin in the strategic reserve – what is the meaning and possible consequences 2025-03-13 The US has included Bitcoin in the strategic reserve –...
Trump imposes duties on China, the United States, Mexico - what is the point and why everyone is betting on the growth of dollar inflation 2025-02-02 Trump imposes duties on China, the United States, Mexico...
The reason for the Nasdaq's fall: The impact of Chinese startup DeepSeek on Nvidia and ChastGPT Openair 2025-01-28 The reason for the Nasdaq's fall: The impact of Chinese...
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ПЕРЕЙТИ
What is happening to the Russian economy now: lessons from the crises and the impact of oil prices
11-08-2025
What is happening to the Russian economy now: lessons from the crises and the impact of oil prices
Cryptocurrency as a means of settlement in oil trade with China and India
14-03-2025
Cryptocurrency as a means of settlement in oil trade with China and India
The US has included Bitcoin in the strategic reserve – what is the meaning and possible consequences
13-03-2025
The US has included Bitcoin in the strategic reserve – what is the meaning and possible consequences
Trump imposes duties on China, the United States, Mexico - what is the point and why everyone is betting on the growth of dollar inflation
02-02-2025
Trump imposes duties on China, the United States, Mexico - what is the point and why everyone is betting on the growth of dollar inflation
The reason for the Nasdaq's fall: The impact of Chinese startup DeepSeek on Nvidia and ChastGPT Openair
28-01-2025
The reason for the Nasdaq's fall: The impact of Chinese startup DeepSeek on Nvidia and ChastGPT Openair
China's economic decline - loss of leading positions in Asia
26-12-2024
China's economic decline - loss of leading positions in Asia
Peter Schiff calls for the sale of bitcoins to reduce the budget deficit in the United States
18-12-2024
Peter Schiff calls for the sale of bitcoins to reduce the budget deficit in the United States
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Ruslan Mikhailenko is an economist and web developer
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